Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Game data updated 25 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · Thursday, Nov 26, 9:30 PM · closed
Philadelphia Eagles1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+17)
Dallas Cowboys
0–1 · Elo 1449 · Dak Prescott (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DAL | PHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PHI 56% | 44% | 56% | DAL 1449 vs PHI 1539, implied spread DAL +1.7 |
| Closing spread | DAL 54% | 54% | 46% | DAL -1.5 |
| The blend | DAL 52% | 52% | 48% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Dallas Cowboys over the Eagles: Elo 44%, market 54%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Prescott is worth 17 Elo; Hurts is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: DAL 4 days, PHI 4 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: DAL +17 (Dak Prescott), PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.