Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 6, 9:25 PM · dome
Carolina Panthers0–1 · Elo 1431 · Bryce Young
Minnesota Vikings
1–0 · Elo 1555 · Carson Wentz (+43) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | MIN | CAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | MIN 77% | 77% | 23% | MIN 1555 vs CAR 1431, implied spread MIN −8.4 |
| Closing spread | MIN 60% | 60% | 40% | MIN -3.5 |
| The blend | MIN 64% | 64% | 36% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Minnesota Vikings over the Panthers: Elo 77%, market 60%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Wentz is worth 43 Elo.
Details
- Rest: MIN 7 days, CAR 6 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: MIN +43 (Carson Wentz), CAR +6 (Bryce Young). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.