Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 6, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Jacksonville Jaguars1–0 · Elo 1571 · Trevor Lawrence
Chicago Bears
1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CHI | JAX | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CHI 58% | 58% | 42% | CHI 1557 vs JAX 1571, implied spread CHI −2.2 |
| Closing spread | CHI 59% | 59% | 41% | CHI -3 |
| The blend | CHI 61% | 61% | 39% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Chicago Bears over the Jaguars: Elo 58%, market 59%. Tight agreement: go above both. CHI off a bye.
Details
- Rest: CHI 10 days, JAX 7 days. CHI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.