Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · Friday, Dec 4, 1:15 AM · dome
Kansas City Chiefs1–0 · Elo 1518 · Patrick Mahomes (+46)
Los Angeles Rams
0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LAR | KC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 54% | 54% | 46% | LAR 1545 vs KC 1518, implied spread LAR −1.1 |
| Closing spread | LAR 60% | 60% | 40% | LAR -3.5 |
| The blend | LAR 59% | 59% | 41% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Los Angeles Rams over the Chiefs: Elo 54%, market 60%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Mahomes is worth 46 Elo.
Details
- Rest: LAR 8 days, KC 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: LAR 0 (Matthew Stafford), KC +46 (Patrick Mahomes). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.