Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 6, 9:05 PM · closed
Philadelphia Eagles
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | PHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PHI 62% | 38% | 62% | ARI 1488 vs PHI 1539, implied spread ARI +3.4 |
| Closing spread | PHI 74% | 26% | 74% | ARI +8.5 |
| The blend | PHI 71% | 29% | 71% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Philadelphia Eagles over the Cardinals: Elo 62%, market 74%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Brissett is costing 40 Elo; Hurts is worth 17 Elo; PHI off a bye.
Details
- Rest: ARI 7 days, PHI 10 days. PHI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett), PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.