Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 14, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 13, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Atlanta Falcons0–1 · Elo 1465 · Cooper Rush (-26)
Cleveland Browns
0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CLE | ATL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CLE 59% | 59% | 41% | CLE 1423 vs ATL 1465, implied spread CLE −2.7 |
| Closing spread | CLE 54% | 54% | 46% | CLE -1.5 |
| The blend | CLE 56% | 56% | 44% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Cleveland Browns over the Falcons: Elo 59%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Watson is worth 34 Elo; Rush is costing 26 Elo.
Details
- Rest: CLE 7 days, ATL 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: CLE +34 (Deshaun Watson), ATL -26 (Cooper Rush). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.