Houston Texans at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 14, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 13, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Houston Texans0–1 · Elo 1556 · C.J. Stroud
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | HOU | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | HOU 54% | 46% | 54% | WSH 1467 vs HOU 1556, implied spread WSH +1.1 |
| Closing spread | HOU 54% | 46% | 54% | WSH +1.5 |
| The blend | HOU 54% | 46% | 54% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Houston Texans over the Commanders: Elo 54%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, HOU 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), HOU +1 (C.J. Stroud). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.