Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 14, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 13, 9:25 PM · outdoors
Kansas City Chiefs1–0 · Elo 1518 · Patrick Mahomes (+46) · off a bye
Cincinnati Bengals
1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CIN | KC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | KC 53% | 47% | 53% | CIN 1505 vs KC 1518, implied spread CIN +0.8 |
| Closing spread | CIN 54% | 54% | 46% | CIN -1.5 |
| The blend | CIN 53% | 53% | 47% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Cincinnati Bengals over the Chiefs: Elo 47%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Burrow is worth 17 Elo; Mahomes is worth 46 Elo; KC off a bye.
Details
- Rest: CIN 7 days, KC 10 days. KC off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: CIN +17 (Joe Burrow), KC +46 (Patrick Mahomes). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.