Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 14, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 13, 9:25 PM · outdoors
Los Angeles Rams0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford · off a bye
San Francisco 49ers
1–0 · Elo 1584 · Brock Purdy · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SF | LAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SF 59% | 59% | 41% | SF 1584 vs LAR 1545, implied spread SF −2.5 |
| Closing spread | LAR 54% | 46% | 54% | SF +1.5 |
| The blend | LAR 51% | 49% | 51% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Los Angeles Rams over the 49ers: Elo 41%, market 54%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. LAR off a bye.
Details
- Rest: SF 7 days, LAR 10 days. LAR off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.