Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 27, 5:00 AM · outdoors
Carolina Panthers0–1 · Elo 1431 · Bryce Young
Pittsburgh Steelers
1–0 · Elo 1526 · Aaron Rodgers · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PIT | CAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PIT 69% | 69% | 31% | PIT 1526 vs CAR 1431, implied spread PIT −5.4 |
| Closing spread | PIT 60% | 60% | 40% | PIT -3.5 |
| The blend | PIT 62% | 62% | 38% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Pittsburgh Steelers over the Panthers: Elo 69%, market 60%. Clear favorite, take the average.
Details
- Rest: PIT 7 days, CAR 7 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.