Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 27, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Cleveland Browns0–1 · Elo 1423 · Deshaun Watson (+34)
Baltimore Ravens
1–0 · Elo 1559 · Lamar Jackson (+13) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | BAL | CLE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BAL 72% | 72% | 28% | BAL 1559 vs CLE 1423, implied spread BAL −6.5 |
| Closing spread | BAL 77% | 77% | 23% | BAL -10 |
| The blend | BAL 76% | 76% | 24% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Baltimore Ravens over the Browns: Elo 72%, market 77%. Clear favorite, take the average. Watson is worth 34 Elo.
Details
- Rest: BAL 7 days, CLE 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: BAL +13 (Lamar Jackson), CLE +34 (Deshaun Watson). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.