Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Saturday, Dec 26, 1:15 AM · outdoors
Los Angeles Rams0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford
Seattle Seahawks
1–0 · Elo 1636 · Drew Lock (-30) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SEA | LAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 65% | 65% | 35% | SEA 1636 vs LAR 1545, implied spread SEA −4.4 |
| Closing spread | SEA 54% | 54% | 46% | SEA -1.5 |
| The blend | SEA 57% | 57% | 43% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Seattle Seahawks over the Rams: Elo 65%, market 54%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Lock is costing 30 Elo.
Details
- Rest: SEA 6 days, LAR 5 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: SEA -30 (Drew Lock), LAR 0 (Matthew Stafford). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Saturday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.