Week 17 predictions

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 17, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 3, 9:25 PM · outdoors

Detroit Lions
1–1 · Elo 1519 · Jared Goff
Elo: CHI 62%Spread: CHI 54%
Chicago Bears
1–0 · Elo 1557 · Caleb Williams · Home

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsCHIDETNote
EloCHI 62%62%38%CHI 1557 vs DET 1519, implied spread CHI −3.4
Closing spreadCHI 54%54%46%CHI -1.5
The blendCHI 56%56%44%

The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.

The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

Chicago Bears over the Lions: Elo 62%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.

Details

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.