Las Vegas Raiders at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 3, 9:05 PM · closed
Las Vegas Raiders1–0 · Elo 1420 · Kirk Cousins (+70)
Arizona Cardinals
1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | LV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | ARI 51% | 51% | 49% | ARI 1488 vs LV 1420, implied spread ARI −0.3 |
| Closing spread | LV 54% | 46% | 54% | ARI +1.5 |
| The blend | LV 53% | 47% | 53% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Las Vegas Raiders over the Cardinals: Elo 49%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Brissett is costing 40 Elo; Cousins is worth 70 Elo.
Details
- Rest: ARI 7 days, LV 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett), LV +70 (Kirk Cousins). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.