Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 3, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Minnesota Vikings1–0 · Elo 1555 · Carson Wentz (+43)
New York Jets
1–0 · Elo 1444 · Geno Smith (+22) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NYJ | MIN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | MIN 62% | 38% | 62% | NYJ 1444 vs MIN 1555, implied spread NYJ +3.3 |
| Closing spread | MIN 60% | 40% | 60% | NYJ +3.5 |
| The blend | MIN 63% | 37% | 63% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Minnesota Vikings over the Jets: Elo 62%, market 60%. Tight agreement: go above both. Smith is worth 22 Elo; Wentz is worth 43 Elo.
Details
- Rest: NYJ 7 days, MIN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: NYJ +22 (Geno Smith), MIN +43 (Carson Wentz). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.