Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 10, 5:00 AM · closed
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | HOU | TEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | HOU 74% | 74% | 26% | HOU 1556 vs TEN 1364, implied spread HOU −8.9 |
| Closing spread | HOU 70% | 70% | 30% | HOU -7 |
| The blend | HOU 71% | 71% | 29% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Houston Texans over the Titans: Elo 74%, market 70%. Clear favorite, take the average. Ward is worth 19 Elo.
Details
- Rest: HOU 6 days, TEN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: HOU +1 (C.J. Stroud), TEN +19 (Cam Ward). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.