Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals
Game data updated 22 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 4, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 4, 5:00 PM · outdoors
Jacksonville Jaguars1–0 · Elo 1571 · Trevor Lawrence
Cincinnati Bengals
1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CIN | JAX | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | JAX 51% | 49% | 51% | CIN 1505 vs JAX 1571, implied spread CIN +0.2 |
| Closing spread | CIN 57% | 57% | 43% | CIN -2.5 |
| The blend | CIN 55% | 55% | 45% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Cincinnati Bengals over the Jaguars: Elo 49%, market 57%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Burrow is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: CIN 7 days, JAX 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: CIN +17 (Joe Burrow), JAX +3 (Trevor Lawrence). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.