New York Giants at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 5, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 11, 5:00 PM · outdoors
New York Giants1–0 · Elo 1474 · Jaxson Dart
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | NYG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | WSH 58% | 58% | 42% | WSH 1467 vs NYG 1474, implied spread WSH −2.4 |
| Closing spread | WSH 57% | 57% | 43% | WSH -2.5 |
| The blend | WSH 60% | 60% | 40% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Washington Commanders over the Giants: Elo 58%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, NYG 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), NYG -4 (Jaxson Dart). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.