Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 5, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 11, 1:30 PM · neutral site · outdoors
Philadelphia Eagles1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+17)
Jacksonville Jaguars
1–0 · Elo 1571 · Trevor Lawrence · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | JAX | PHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | JAX 53% | 53% | 47% | JAX 1571 vs PHI 1539, implied spread JAX −0.7 |
| Closing spread | PHI 54% | 46% | 54% | JAX +1.5 |
| The blend | PHI 53% | 47% | 53% |
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The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Philadelphia Eagles over the Jaguars: Elo 47%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Hurts is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: JAX 7 days, PHI 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: JAX +3 (Trevor Lawrence), PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.