New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 6, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 18, 5:00 PM · outdoors
New Orleans Saints0–1 · Elo 1472 · Tyler Shough (-16)
New York Giants
1–0 · Elo 1474 · Jaxson Dart · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NYG | NO | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | NYG 59% | 59% | 41% | NYG 1474 vs NO 1472, implied spread NYG −2.5 |
| Closing spread | NYG 57% | 57% | 43% | NYG -2.5 |
| The blend | NYG 60% | 60% | 40% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
New York Giants over the Saints: Elo 59%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both. Shough is costing 16 Elo.
Details
- Rest: NYG 7 days, NO 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: NYG -4 (Jaxson Dart), NO -16 (Tyler Shough). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.