Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks
Game data updated 23 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 7, 2026 · Monday, Oct 26, 12:20 AM · outdoors
Kansas City Chiefs1–0 · Elo 1518 · Patrick Mahomes (+46)
Seattle Seahawks
1–0 · Elo 1636 · Drew Lock (-30) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SEA | KC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 66% | 66% | 34% | SEA 1636 vs KC 1518, implied spread SEA −4.6 |
| Closing spread | SEA 59% | 59% | 41% | SEA -3 |
| The blend | SEA 61% | 61% | 39% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Seattle Seahawks over the Chiefs: Elo 66%, market 59%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Lock is costing 30 Elo; Mahomes is worth 46 Elo; SEA off a bye.
Details
- Rest: SEA 10 days, KC 7 days. SEA off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: SEA -30 (Drew Lock), KC +46 (Patrick Mahomes). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Monday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.