Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 8, 2026 · Monday, Nov 2, 1:20 AM · outdoors
Philadelphia Eagles1–0 · Elo 1539 · Jalen Hurts (+17)
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | PHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PHI 50% | 50% | 50% | WSH 1467 vs PHI 1539, implied spread WSH +0.1 |
| Closing spread | PHI 54% | 46% | 54% | WSH +1.5 |
| The blend | PHI 53% | 47% | 53% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Philadelphia Eagles over the Commanders: Elo 50%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Hurts is worth 17 Elo; WSH off a bye.
Details
- Rest: WSH 13 days, PHI 6 days. WSH off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), PHI +17 (Jalen Hurts). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Monday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.