Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 9, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 8, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Los Angeles Rams0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | LAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 52% | 48% | 52% | WSH 1467 vs LAR 1545, implied spread WSH +0.6 |
| Closing spread | LAR 66% | 34% | 66% | WSH +5.5 |
| The blend | LAR 62% | 38% | 62% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Los Angeles Rams over the Commanders: Elo 52%, market 66%. Big disagreement: trust the market number.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, LAR 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), LAR 0 (Matthew Stafford). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.