Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 9, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 8, 9:05 PM · outdoors
Las Vegas Raiders1–0 · Elo 1420 · Kirk Cousins (+70)
San Francisco 49ers
1–0 · Elo 1584 · Brock Purdy · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | SF | LV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SF 72% | 72% | 28% | SF 1584 vs LV 1420, implied spread SF −6.7 |
| Closing spread | SF 74% | 74% | 26% | SF -8.5 |
| The blend | SF 75% | 75% | 25% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
San Francisco 49ers over the Raiders: Elo 72%, market 74%. Tight agreement: go above both. Cousins is worth 70 Elo; SF off a bye.
Details
- Rest: SF 14 days, LV 7 days. SF off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: SF -1 (Brock Purdy), LV +70 (Kirk Cousins). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.