Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 13 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 3, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 27, 5:00 PM · outdoors
Seattle Seahawks1–0 · Elo 1636 · Drew Lock (-30)
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 61% | 39% | 61% | WSH 1467 vs SEA 1636, implied spread WSH +3.0 |
| Closing spread | SEA 57% | 43% | 57% | WSH +2.5 |
| The blend | SEA 60% | 40% | 60% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Seattle Seahawks over the Commanders: Elo 61%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both. Lock is costing 30 Elo.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, SEA 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), SEA -30 (Drew Lock). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.