Tennessee Titans at New York Giants
Game data updated 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 3, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 27, 5:00 PM · outdoors
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NYG | TEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | NYG 69% | 69% | 31% | NYG 1474 vs TEN 1364, implied spread NYG −5.4 |
| Closing spread | NYG 66% | 66% | 34% | NYG -5.5 |
| The blend | NYG 69% | 69% | 31% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
New York Giants over the Titans: Elo 69%, market 66%. Tight agreement: go above both. Ward is worth 19 Elo.
Details
- Rest: NYG 6 days, TEN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: NYG -4 (Jaxson Dart), TEN +19 (Cam Ward). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.