Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 3, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 27, 8:25 PM · dome
Las Vegas Raiders1–0 · Elo 1420 · Kirk Cousins (+70)
New Orleans Saints
0–1 · Elo 1472 · Tyler Shough (-16) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NO | LV | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | NO 52% | 52% | 48% | NO 1472 vs LV 1420, implied spread NO −0.6 |
| Closing spread | NO 59% | 59% | 41% | NO -3 |
| The blend | NO 57% | 57% | 43% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
New Orleans Saints over the Raiders: Elo 52%, market 59%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Shough is costing 16 Elo; Cousins is worth 70 Elo.
Details
- Rest: NO 7 days, LV 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: NO -16 (Tyler Shough), LV +70 (Kirk Cousins). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.