Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
Game data updated 14 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 10, 5:00 AM · outdoors
Atlanta Falcons0–1 · Elo 1465 · Cooper Rush (-26)
Carolina Panthers
0–1 · Elo 1431 · Bryce Young · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CAR | ATL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CAR 57% | 57% | 43% | CAR 1431 vs ATL 1465, implied spread CAR −1.8 |
| Closing spread | CAR 57% | 57% | 43% | CAR -2.5 |
| The blend | CAR 59% | 59% | 41% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Carolina Panthers over the Falcons: Elo 57%, market 57%. Tight agreement: go above both. Rush is costing 26 Elo.
Details
- Rest: CAR 7 days, ATL 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: CAR +6 (Bryce Young), ATL -26 (Cooper Rush). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.