Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 10, 5:00 AM · outdoors
Los Angeles Chargers0–1 · Elo 1481 · Justin Herbert (+18)
Denver Broncos
0–1 · Elo 1547 · Bo Nix · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DEN | LAC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DEN 59% | 59% | 41% | DEN 1547 vs LAC 1481, implied spread DEN −3.8 |
| Closing spread | DEN 54% | 54% | 46% | DEN -1.5 |
| The blend | DEN 56% | 56% | 44% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Denver Broncos over the Chargers: Elo 59%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Herbert is worth 18 Elo.
Details
- Rest: DEN 7 days, LAC 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: DEN -1 (Bo Nix), LAC +18 (Justin Herbert). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.