Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 27 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 20, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Atlanta Falcons0–1 · Elo 1465 · Cooper Rush (-26)
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | ATL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | WSH 63% | 63% | 37% | WSH 1467 vs ATL 1465, implied spread WSH −3.6 |
| Closing spread | WSH 60% | 60% | 40% | WSH -3.5 |
| The blend | WSH 63% | 63% | 37% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Washington Commanders over the Falcons: Elo 63%, market 60%. Tight agreement: go above both. Rush is costing 26 Elo.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, ATL 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), ATL -26 (Cooper Rush). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.