Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 20, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Baltimore Ravens1–0 · Elo 1559 · Lamar Jackson (+13)
Pittsburgh Steelers
1–0 · Elo 1526 · Aaron Rodgers · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | PIT | BAL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | PIT 50% | 50% | 50% | PIT 1526 vs BAL 1559, implied spread PIT −0.0 |
| Closing spread | BAL 57% | 43% | 57% | PIT +2.5 |
| The blend | BAL 56% | 44% | 56% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Baltimore Ravens over the Steelers: Elo 50%, market 57%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine.
Details
- Rest: PIT 6 days, BAL 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: PIT -2 (Aaron Rodgers), BAL +13 (Lamar Jackson). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.