Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills
Game data updated 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 20, 1:20 AM · outdoors
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | BUF | CHI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BUF 63% | 63% | 37% | BUF 1612 vs CHI 1557, implied spread BUF −3.8 |
| Closing spread | BUF 60% | 60% | 40% | BUF -3.5 |
| The blend | BUF 63% | 63% | 37% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Buffalo Bills over the Bears: Elo 63%, market 60%. Tight agreement: go above both.
Details
- Rest: BUF 6 days, CHI 6 days.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.