New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams
Game data updated 12 min ago · markets priced 12 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 2, 2026 · Tuesday, Sep 22, 12:15 AM · dome
New York Giants1–0 · Elo 1474 · Jaxson Dart
Los Angeles Rams
0–1 · Elo 1545 · Matthew Stafford · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LAR | NYG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 70% | 70% | 30% | LAR 1545 vs NYG 1474, implied spread LAR −5.9 |
| Closing spread | LAR 70% | 70% | 30% | LAR -7 |
| Sportsbooks | LAR 74% | 74% | 26% | |
| Kalshi | LAR 75% | 75% | 26% | |
| Polymarket | LAR 75% | 75% | 26% | |
| The blend | LAR 73% | 73% | 27% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Los Angeles Rams over the Giants: Elo 70%, market 74%. Clear favorite, take the average. LAR off a bye.
Details
- Importance 52 of 100: how far the league's playoff odds swing on this result, from simulation. Quality 36.
- Rest: LAR 11 days, NYG 8 days. LAR off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
Priced since Fri, Sep 18, 4 AM; last change Fri 4:37 AM. No movement in the consensus yet. History records changes only, so a flat line means the price held.
| Market | Opened (LAR) | Now | Move | Changes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 75% | 75% | — | 0 |
| Polymarket | 75% | 75% | — | 0 |
| Sportsbooks | 74% | 74% | — | 0 |