New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated 15 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 20, 9:05 PM · closed
New York Jets1–0 · Elo 1444 · Geno Smith (+22)
Arizona Cardinals
1–0 · Elo 1488 · Jacoby Brissett (-40) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | NYJ | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | ARI 58% | 58% | 42% | ARI 1488 vs NYJ 1444, implied spread ARI −2.2 |
| Closing spread | ARI 54% | 54% | 46% | ARI -1.5 |
| The blend | ARI 55% | 55% | 45% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Arizona Cardinals over the Jets: Elo 58%, market 54%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Brissett is costing 40 Elo; Smith is worth 22 Elo; ARI off a bye.
Details
- Rest: ARI 14 days, NYJ 7 days. ARI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett), NYJ +22 (Geno Smith). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.